Solana price prediction: treasury firms face make-or-break test as 1.4b losses mount

Solana price prediction steep slide is hammering ETFs and corporate treasuries, with 1.4b in paper losses exposing how fragile institutional crypto risk-taking has become.
Solana, the seventh largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, plunged to a two year low near 67 early last week before clawing back to the 84 87 band, leaving the asset down roughly 38 over the past 30 days and more than 70 below its January 2025 peak around 295. The move marks one of the steepest drawdowns among major layer 1s in the current downturn, even as the network still processes around 160 million daily transactions and handled about 117 billion in DEX volume in January, briefly overtaking Ethereum on that metric.
Solana s sharp reset has carved out the 84 87 band as the first meaningful pivot zone, and if the network can sustain roughly 160 million daily transactions and DEX volumes anywhere near January s 117 billion run rate, the current drawdown increasingly looks like late stage capitulation rather than the start of a structural collapse, opening room for a medium term recovery path back toward the 120 150 area, while a clean break below 80 would invalidate this hypothesis and re open the door to a full retest of the two year low around 67 or even the 50 60 range.